315 bq states das

8/14/2019 315 BQ States DAs

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States DAsDDI 2008 BQSteve Quam

States DAs

States DAs ................................................................................................................................................... ............ 1

California DA ...................................................... ................................................................................................... 2

Cali DA ................................................................................................................................................................. 3

Cali DA ................................................................................................................................................................. 4

Cali Uniqueness ...................................................... ............................................................................................. 5

AT: Mercury News Evidence ................................................................................................................................. 6

AT: LA Times Evidence ......................................................................................................................................... 7

AT: Sacramento Bee Evidence ............................................................................................................................ .. 8

AT: Spending Good 4 Econ ................................................................................................................................... 9

Texas DA ...................................................................................................................................................... ......... 10

Texas The Disadvantage ................................................................................................................................... 11

Texas The Disadvantage ................................................................................................................................... 12

Texas Uniqueness ........................................................................................................................................... ...... 13

Notes:I just included the DAs that BQ worked on.

Thanks to Sam Fishell for the Cali Cards.

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2/13


California DA

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4/13


Cali DA

California is key to the US economy

Ray Haynes , California Assembly member representing Riverside and Temecula, 9-2- 2003 ; Whos Dragging Down Who?,http://theamericashow.net/archives/Columns/Haynes/20030902HaynesDragging.htmlI think it is important people know what is happening in California governmen t. One in seven people who live in the UnitedStates live in California. California constitutes ten per cent of the entire national economy, and it is the fifth (or sixth or seventhor eighth) largest economy in the world (our ranking shrinks each year Davis stays in office). When Californias economy hiccups,it causes a national economic earthquake. A large, diverse, and powerful economic actor is important not just to those of uswho live here, but to those who walk the halls of Washington power as well .Government at any level cant do much to help the economy . The economy is driven by peoples needs and the endless effort of

private companies to meet those needs. Government, however, can screw it up . Using tax and regulatory policy, and governmentsubsidies, government impacts individual preferences by increasing the price of one product or service (or decreasing another), andshifting limited social resources to government-preferred activities. If these preferred activities arent beneficial to the economy as awhole, government causes the economy to falter. Jobs are lost, people are hurt, and the economy shrinks. Given these facts, itwould be important to cover any government function that affects ten per cent of the economy . Sacramento should be the focus

of a lot of media attention.

Economic collapse leads to global nuclear warWalter Russell Mead , former Senior Fellow for U.S. Foreign Policy at the Council on Foreign Relations, World Policy Institute,1992; "Depending on the Kindness of Strangers," New Perspectives Quarterly 9.3 (Summer 1992) pp. 28-30.Hundreds of millions billions of people have pinned their hopes on the international market economy . They and their leadershave embraced market principles and drawn closer to the west because they believe that our system can work for them. But what if it cant? What if the global economy stagnates or even shrinks ? In that case, we will face a new period of international conflict :South against North, rich against poor. Russia, China, India these countries with their billions of people and their nuclearweapons will pose a much greater danger to world order than Germany and Japan did in the 30s.

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http://theamericashow.net/archives/Columns/Haynes/20030902HaynesDragging.htmlhttp://theamericashow.net/archives/Columns/Haynes/20030902HaynesDragging.html


5/13


Cali Uniqueness

Uniqueness and Internal Link - Californias budget is on the brink of collapse increased spending devastates regulationsSan Jose Mercury News 7-11 -2008 (http://www.mercurynews.com/opinion/ci_9848677 )If nothing else, the California budget imbroglio has brought the Capitol's stark ideological conflict - very liberal Democrats vs.very conservative Republicans and no more than a handful of even semi-moderates - into razor-sharp focus . With the Democratsnow insisting on more than $8 billion in new taxes , mostly on business and the affluent, to cover much of the state's whoppingbudget deficit , and Republicans rejecting them as damaging to the state's struggling economy, the stage is set for a cage fight .And that wouldn't be such a bad thing. The ideological warriors have been sparring for years, but each year have avoided a toe-to-toeslugfest over taxes and permanent spending cuts by conjuring up new accounting gimmicks or ways to borrow money. 'Line in thesand' However, this year, with the structural deficit magnified by recession, the dueling factions seem poised to settle it once andfor all . "We don't want another temporary fix," Senate President Pro Tem Don Perata said Wednesday as he and Assembly Speaker Karen Bass described their budget, financed largely with new taxes, as a "line in the sand." " We can't cut any more ," Bass said."This budget defines what Democrats say we need to do to keep California on an even keel ." The Democratic budget not onlyraises taxes by $8.2 billion a year, mostly by adding higher income tax rates for upper-income taxpayers, but it restores many of the

spending reductions that Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger had proposed in May. And that, Republicans say, makes the Democratic budgeta non-starter - which is no idle threat since at least some GOP votes would be needed to pass both the budget and any new taxes.Assemblyman Roger Niello of Sacramento, a Republican point man on the budget, described it as "a massive tax increase in a veryweak economy" and "a dysfunctional solution." But he and other GOP lawmakers haven't been willing to get specific on their spending cuts. And where's the governor? This vague reaction implies that he's wandering in no-man's land as legislators prepare for

political war: "You have to be open-minded, and that's the only way we can get a compromise done. So, I'm open-minded, but I'magainst tax increases." Without a budget, California will run out of cash in another month or so, unable to pay the bills it couldlegally pay and probably forced to float a short-term, high-interest loan . But despite the hoopla, the lack of a budget is lessimportant than bringing this perpetual, tiresome wrangle to at least a semi-permanent conclusion, no matter how long it takes.Democrats contend their budget does that with billions of dollars in permanent new taxes. But if enacted, it could spawn even worse

problems because it increases the state's reliance on volatile income taxes on the affluent. Under fixed spending formulas, especiallyfor education, an economic recovery could send revenues soaring in a few years, locking in higher levels of spending that couldnot be sustained when the economy cooled again .

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http://www.mercurynews.com/opinion/ci_9848677http://www.mercurynews.com/opinion/ci_9848677


6/13


AT: Mercury News Evidence

1.) There evidence doesnt actually conclude anything about Californiaseconomy overall, it just says that some areas have had job losses. The articleeven concludes that key area such as tech have had growth.

2.) The evidence goes our way, it proves that calis econ is on the edge now.

3.) Even if calis in a mild recession its key to prevent total economic collapse.

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7/13


AT: LA Times Evidence

1.) This evidence flows aff The article says that California will have to borrow

money from other sectors and then pay it back. The counterplan would forceCalifornia to borrow even more money, which would devastate the Californiaeconomy. The evidence is great uniqueness indicating that cali cant increaseits spending.

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8/13


AT: Sacramento Bee Evidence

1.) Their evidence concludes that tax wouldnt be enough to offset.

2.) Any tax change wouldnt come quickly enough.The Sacramento Bee, 7-20-2008 , Some see taxing more services as way to ease California budget crunch,http://www.sacbee.com/111/story/1095533.html

A quick overhaul of the tax structure isn't likely . Although Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger and Assembly Speaker Karen Basswant to form a blue-ribbon commission to study the tax code, that won't happen until after the current budget is passed.And even once the commission gets going, history says a thorough revamp won't pass easily. The idea of broadening thesales tax base has been floated before without much success, and may face fierce resistance in the Legislature.

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http://www.sacbee.com/111/story/1095533.htmlhttp://www.sacbee.com/111/story/1095533.htmlhttp://www.sacbee.com/111/story/1095533.html


9/13


AT: Spending Good 4 Econ

1.) Your evidence doesnt assume the current situation in California, our

evidence is on point that the current deal is key to prevent a financial crisis.The CP trades off tanking the cali econ.

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11/13


Texas The Disadvantage

a.) The Texas economy is holding, but increased spending will push it over theedge.Brendan Case Staff Writer for the Dallas Morning News 7/21/ 08 Troubled economy has Texans recalling

banking collapse of the '80s http://www.dallasnews.com/sharedcontent/dws/bus/stories/DN-BankCrash_21bus.ART.State.Edition2.4d58396.html

What does Mr. Cassidy see now? More trouble but he believes the situation is less dire than in the early '90s."Over the next three years, upwards of 300 banks could fail ," he said. "But from a bank failure standpoint and an industrycollapse standpoint, we were in far worse shape in '90 and '91 than the banking industry today."There's no guarantee that some failures won't occur in Texas , where more than 600 banks, most of them small, have about$255 billion in assets. Banks here saw a slight deterioration in credit quality during the first three months of the year, accordingto Randall James, commissioner of the Texas Department of Banking.

On average, however, regulatory reports as of March 31 showed that the banks were outperforming the national average, andhad a lower proportion of past-due loans."Texas is probably as pristine a market as there is in the nation right now in terms of loan performance and asset quality," saidCurtis Carpenter, managing director of Austin-based Sheshunoff & Co. Investment Banking.Reviving memoriesPerhaps wisdom gleaned from the 1980s helped a bit.Moreover, Texas missed out on much of the housing bubble; hence its current housing downturn is much milder than the bustin bubble states such as California and Florida. So most Texas banks have less exposure to the implosion, Mr. Carpenter said.Meanwhile, Texas is gaining jobs while the nation as a whole is losing them.Even as Texas consumers struggle with soaring gasoline prices and some of the priciest electricity in the nation , risingenergy prices also fuel royalty payments and activity by the state's oil and gas industry.But a string of banking failures even elsewhere is sure to revive memories of the 1980s , when the state was today'shousing bust, subprime mortgage mess and economic downturn rolled into one.

b.) Alternative Energy costs billionsMichael Kanellos , Staff Writer for CNET, 1/24/ 2007 , Why it's not easy being green, http://news.cnet.com/Why-its-not-easy-

being-green/2100-11395_3-6152851.html BBSecond, installing an alternative-energy infrastructure isn't cheap , despite the influx of venture money into the field andthe strong demand for technologies such as solar. If oil drops below $55 a barrel, most biofuel concepts will be unprofitable,Arvizu projected. Even if oil doesn't drop that low, it will cost a lot to get an ethanol-solar-wind society off the ground. Tomeet the Department of Energy's goal of making ethanol 30 percent of the U.S. transportation fuel budget, fuel manufacturerswill have to invest $100 billion in refineries . To make wind power 20 percent of the source of the electricity in the U.S., itwill take $500 billion in infrastructure investments .

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http://news.cnet.com/Why-its-not-easy-being-green/2100-11395_3-6152851.htmlhttp://news.cnet.com/Why-its-not-easy-being-green/2100-11395_3-6152851.htmlhttp://news.cnet.com/Why-its-not-easy-being-green/2100-11395_3-6152851.htmlhttp://news.cnet.com/Why-its-not-easy-being-green/2100-11395_3-6152851.html


12/13


Texas The Disadvantage

c.) Texas economic collapse spills over to us economy Texas economy

mirrors u.s. economyTexas Workforce Comission, September, 2002. The texas economy: an age of global economic opportunity,http://socrates.cdr.state.tx.us/iSocrates/Files/TexasEconomy2002.pdf

In years past, conversations about national economic trends or phenomena might have been viewed as of secondary concern toTexans. After all, an economy driven by Oil and Gas, related industrial sectors and other natural resources moved almostcounter-cyclically to the national economy . Today, however, the Texas economy mirrors the U.S. economy much more closelyand national and global trends have a greater bearing on the direction and economic health of the state. Like the U.S.economy, the Texas economy has many facets . When the question is asked, "where has the growth been?" the answer is notalways obvious. Consider just one part, such as job growth, for example. Employment growth or decline can be discussedin terms of geographic region, such as the state of Texas or particular regions within it. It can also be viewed in terms of

industries or specific occupations. Moreover, job growth can be viewed as both percentage change and as absolute change.The following sections will address the question of where growth, decline, and projected changes have occurred in Texasfrom a demographic, geographic, industry, occupational, and earnings perspective.

d.) Economic stagnation leads to nuclear war

Walter Russel Mead , fellow, Council on Foreign Relations, 19 92 , NEW PERSPECTIVES

But what if it cant? What if the global economy stagnatesor even shrink In that case, we will face a new period of internationalconflict: South against North, rich against poor. Russia, China, Indiathese countries with their billions of people and their nuclear weapons will pose a much greater danger to world order than Germany and Japan did in the 30s.

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http://socrates.cdr.state.tx.us/iSocrates/Files/TexasEconomy2002.pdfhttp://socrates.cdr.state.tx.us/iSocrates/Files/TexasEconomy2002.pdf


13/13


Texas Uniqueness

The Texas economy is currently rebounding, but increased spending could

send it down the drain.Steve Brown , Staff Writer for Knight Ridder. May 19 99 Overbuilding, Economic Concerns Make Texas RealEstate Experts Wary. http://findarticles.com/p/articles/mi_hb5553/is_199905/ai_n22401181

- Texas' real estate market is rebounding from last fall's numbing credit crunch, but worries about overbuilding and aneconomic slowdown still have property investors and developers looking over their shoulders."This economy is about as good as it gets," Federal Reserve economist Dr. Harvey Rosenblum told real estate developers at aconference Wednesday in Dallas. " The real question in everybody's mind is how long will it last?"The Texas economy continues to confound prognosticators.

The Texas economy is on the edge right now.Danielle DiMartino Staff writer for The Dallas Morning News 5/19/20 05 Its all building to a fallhttp://www.dallasnews.com/sharedcontent/dws/bus/columnists/all/stories/052005dnbusdimartino.c486ed70.html

The next piece on the Dallas market from Danielle DiMartino is online. "Richard Fisher, president of the Dallas FederalReserve, noted that many areas of Texas have seen resurging economic growth. Dallas was not one of them. 'The weakest spotis North Texas ,' Mr. Fisher said, 'largely because of the hit that telecom, technology and aviation took.'""And yet 'builders just keep building ,' said David Houston. 'The risk is not so much the prices of the homes themselves, it'sthe loans being made on the homes. The danger I see here is that people are buying so much more home than they canafford.'"If that is the case, it is strictly a function of the easy money. "Jim Pearson of Pearson Appraisal Co., 'This is where you'reseeing a lot of the problems, where irresponsible or downright fraudulent lenders are trying to find unethical appraisers to work with them.'"

"What will happen when those loans are stress-tested, if the local economy doesn't improve, if the national economyfalters, if interest rates rise?"

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315 bq states das

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