Download - NaLaMa-nT
NaLaMa-nTNachhaltiges Landmanagement im
Norddeutschen Tieflandunter sich ändernden ökologischen, ökonomischen
und gesellschaftlichen Rahmenbedingungen
Sustainable Land Management in the North German Lowlands
Gouvernment-sponsored by „Bundesministerium für Bildung und Forschung“
goal - Sustainable Land Management in the North German Lowlandsunder consideration of different developments in nature and society
Background and Motivation A sustainable land management of the 21 century has to be developed and observed in due consideration of the effects of global change. The changes in natural resources, produce and financial markets, as well as climate change, pose great challenge and substantial influence on the chances and risks of forestry and agriculture. In addition, structural regional changes are very important. They demand adaptation in land management and, if necessary, reorientation. On the evidence of the already existing and still growing uncertainties, these measures should be conceived in such a way that they allow for a flexible reaction on changing conditions und consider the interactions between different land-use systems. The following severe changes have already occurred or are likely to arise:
the demand of food, timber and other renewable raw materials rises worldwide,
new production and processing capacities for both substantial and energetic utilisation are built,
the intensity of both agricultural and silvicultural land use rises,
habitat range and biodiversity are restrained in many ways,
production basis, risks and yield prospects change due to the expected resp. already ongoing climate change and the atmospheric element input,
the demand for drinking water in conurbations and for raw water in agriculture rises,
German population ages and increasingly leaves rural areas,
the regional consumer structure alters,
areal competition between agriculture, forestry, production (food, substantial and energetic utilisation) and nature conservation increases,
interests and utilisation conflicts in competing for water aggravate among land users.
interdisciplinarity and tasks
Dümmer; moor, agriculture
agriculture
forestry
agriculture; lakes and woods
Areas under investigation
project structure
project co-ordination
project presentation for stakeholders
PIK‘s project contribution
provision of observed and scenario data
expert advice for use of climatological data
climate analysis
calculation of different climate scenarios (2011 – 2070) using the model STARS
selection of RCP-scenario RCP 8.5
Annual mean of air temperature
ca. 3.0 – 6.5 K / 100a
Annual mean of the daily sum of precipitation
ca. -220 - +218 mm / 100a(annual sum)
Models
Gelb: Schwankungsbreite der einzelnen Jahreswerte
source: P. Hoffmann, PIKselection of temperature trend
maxt
medtmint
Difference of the mean frequency of days with frost and without snow 2041/2070 – 1981/2010
Mean frequency of days with frost and without snow 1981 – 2010example for climate analysis
PartnersAbteilung für Hydrologie und Wasserwirtschaft, Institut für Natur- und Ressourcenschutz, Christian-
Albrechts-Universität KielDepartment Bodenphysik, Helmholtz-Zentrum für Umweltforschung GmbH (UFZ), LeipzigFG Landschaftsökonomie, Institut für Landschaftsarchitektur und Umweltplanung, TU BerlinGeorg-August-Universität Göttingen
Abteilung GraslandwissenschaftAbteilung Allgemeine Pflanzenpathologie und PflanzenschutzAbteilung Produktionssysteme der NutztiereAbteilung für Forstökonomie und ForsteinrichtungAbteilung Forst- und Naturschutzpolitik und Forstgeschichte
Institut für Agrar- und Ernährungswissenschaften, Universität Halle-WittenbergLandeskompetenzzentrum Forst Eberswalde (LFE), Landesbetrieb Forst Brandenburg, EberswaldeLandkreis DiepholzLandkreis UelzenLehrstuhl für Landschaftsökologie, Hochschule VechtaLeibniz-Zentrum für Agrarlandschaftsforschung (ZALF) e.V., Müncheberg
Institut für LandnutzungssystemeInstitut für Sozioökonomie
Nordwestdeutsche Forstliche Versuchsanstalt (NW-FVA), GöttingenAbteilung WaldwachstumAbteilung WaldschutzAbteilung Umweltkontrolle
Potsdam-Institut für Klimafolgenforschung (PIK), PotsdamProfessur für Phytomedizin, Agrar- und Umweltwissenschaftliche Fakultät, Universität RostockRegionale Planungsgemeinschaft Havelland-Fläming, TeltowRegionale Planungsgemeinschaft Oderland-Spree, BeeskowRegionale Planungsgemeinschaft Anhalt-Bitterfeld-Wittenberg, Köthen
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